GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 7/25/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shenyang Urban are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Qingdao Youth Island are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Qingdao Youth Island hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.8% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.8%

Model confidence

34.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shenyang UrbanDWLLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Qingdao Youth IslandLDLWW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Shenyang UrbanQingdao Youth Island
44.4Attack37.7
47.6Defence58.0
38.1Form47.8
44.0Power50.1
1.19xG1.11
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