GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/22/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shenyang Urban · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shenyang Urban are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Dalian Zhixing are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dalian Zhixing hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Super League, while Shenyang Urban holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shenyang Urban

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Shenyang Urban has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shenyang UrbanLDWWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dalian ZhixingWWWWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Shenyang UrbanDalian Zhixing
44.4Attack50.8
47.6Defence42.9
38.1Form50.8
44.0Power50.2
1.61xG1.50
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