Shenyang Urbanvs
Chongqing Tongliang Long
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 7/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Shenyang Urban are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Chongqing Tongliang Long are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chongqing Tongliang Long hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60