GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 7/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shenyang Urban are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Chongqing Tongliang Long are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chongqing Tongliang Long hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

35.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shenyang UrbanLLWWW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Chongqing Tongliang LongWWLWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Shenyang UrbanChongqing Tongliang Long
44.4Attack36.2
47.6Defence60.9
38.1Form43.5
44.0Power49.5
1.11xG1.06
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