GGOALVIO

Shelbourne logoShelbournevsAjax logoAjax

COMPLETED

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/13/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ajax · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Shelbourne are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Ajax are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajax hold a 46.7-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 90.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.9% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Ajax holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ajax

Probability

51.3%

Model confidence

9.9%

Ajax has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ShelbourneLLLLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AjaxWWWWD

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ShelbourneAjax
77.8Attack100.0
22.2Defence66.7
33.3Form100.0
44.0Power90.7
1.44xG2.11
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