Shelbournevs
Ajax
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/13/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajax · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Shelbourne are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Ajax are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajax hold a 46.7-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 90.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.9% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Ajax holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ajax
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
9.9%
Ajax has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60