Sheffield Wednesdayvs
Bolton
COMPLETEDEngland · League Cup · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bolton · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sheffield Wednesday are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Bolton are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.3 against 47.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.2% in the League Cup, while Bolton holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bolton
Probability
35.2%
Model confidence
35.2%
Bolton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80