Sheffield Utdvs
Birmingham
LIVEEngland · Championship · 8/15/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sheffield Utd · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Sheffield Utd are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Birmingham are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sheffield Utd hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (64.3 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.6% in the Championship, while Sheffield Utd holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sheffield Utd
Probability
62.4%
Model confidence
19.6%
Sheffield Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60