GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 5/22/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shenzhen 2028 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Shangyu Pterosaur are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Shenzhen 2028 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shenzhen 2028 hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the League Two, while Shenzhen 2028 holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shenzhen 2028

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

50.3%

Shenzhen 2028 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shangyu PterosaurWLWDL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Shenzhen 2028LWLWW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Shangyu PterosaurShenzhen 2028
30.0Attack60.0
58.3Defence61.7
43.3Form60.0
45.8Power60.5
0.71xG1.43
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