GGOALVIO

China · FA Cup · 5/17/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shanghai Zetian · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shanghai Zetian are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Shanghai Zetian hold a 32.3-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the FA Cup, while Shanghai Zetian holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shanghai Zetian

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Shanghai Zetian has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shanghai ZetianWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Heilongjiang Lava SpringLDWWD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Shanghai ZetianHeilongjiang Lava Spring
88.9Attack66.7
11.1Defence0.0
66.7Form0.0
56.0Power23.7
2.10xG1.42
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