GGOALVIO

China · FA Cup · 6/20/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chengdu Better City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shanghai Zetian are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 2.67 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Chengdu Better City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chengdu Better City hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the FA Cup, while Chengdu Better City holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chengdu Better City

Probability

35.8%

Model confidence

35.8%

Chengdu Better City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shanghai ZetianWWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 2.67/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Chengdu Better CityWLLWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Shanghai ZetianChengdu Better City
88.9Attack100.0
11.1Defence50.0
66.7Form66.7
56.0Power70.2
1.74xG1.76
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