GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/4/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SHANGHAI SIPG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SHANGHAI SIPG are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Yunnan Yukun are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.3 against 51.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the Super League, while SHANGHAI SIPG holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SHANGHAI SIPG

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

SHANGHAI SIPG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SHANGHAI SIPGLWLDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Yunnan YukunWLWLD

GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SHANGHAI SIPGYunnan Yukun
54.5Attack65.2
53.0Defence37.9
45.5Form47.0
52.3Power51.5
2.20xG1.69
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