GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/15/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SHANGHAI SIPG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SHANGHAI SIPG are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Hangzhou Greentown are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and SHANGHAI SIPG hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.7% in the Super League, while SHANGHAI SIPG holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SHANGHAI SIPG

Probability

51.7%

Model confidence

51.7%

SHANGHAI SIPG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SHANGHAI SIPGDDLWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hangzhou GreentownDWWLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SHANGHAI SIPGHangzhou Greentown
54.5Attack49.2
53.0Defence42.9
45.5Form46.0
52.3Power47.3
2.04xG1.26
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