GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/21/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SHANGHAI SIPG · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SHANGHAI SIPG are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Chongqing Tongliang Long are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and SHANGHAI SIPG hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Super League, while SHANGHAI SIPG holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SHANGHAI SIPG

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

SHANGHAI SIPG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SHANGHAI SIPGDLWLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Chongqing Tongliang LongWWWDW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SHANGHAI SIPGChongqing Tongliang Long
54.5Attack36.2
53.0Defence60.9
45.5Form43.5
52.3Power49.5
1.40xG0.93
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