SHANGHAI SIPGvs
Chongqing Tongliang Long
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 4/21/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SHANGHAI SIPG · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
SHANGHAI SIPG are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Chongqing Tongliang Long are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and SHANGHAI SIPG hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Super League, while SHANGHAI SIPG holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SHANGHAI SIPG
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
SHANGHAI SIPG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80