GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 7/18/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shanghai Shenhua · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shanghai Shenhua are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tianjin Teda are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shanghai Shenhua hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Super League, while Shanghai Shenhua holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shanghai Shenhua

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Shanghai Shenhua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shanghai ShenhuaWWWDL

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tianjin TedaWLDWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Shanghai ShenhuaTianjin Teda
60.3Attack47.6
46.0Defence58.7
50.8Form42.9
53.6Power50.7
1.63xG1.40
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