GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 8/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shanghai Shenhua · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Shanghai Shenhua are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Henan Jianye are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shanghai Shenhua hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Super League, while Shanghai Shenhua holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shanghai Shenhua

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

13.0%

Shanghai Shenhua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shanghai ShenhuaWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Henan JianyeDDWDW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Shanghai ShenhuaHenan Jianye
60.3Attack41.3
46.0Defence60.3
50.8Form46.0
53.6Power50.3
1.57xG1.22
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