GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 7/5/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shanghai Shenhua · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Shanghai Shenhua are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Hangzhou Greentown are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Shanghai Shenhua hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.5% in the Super League, while Shanghai Shenhua holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shanghai Shenhua

Probability

52.5%

Model confidence

52.5%

Shanghai Shenhua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shanghai ShenhuaWWDLD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hangzhou GreentownLDWLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Shanghai ShenhuaHangzhou Greentown
60.3Attack49.2
46.0Defence42.9
50.8Form46.0
53.6Power47.3
2.27xG1.44
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