GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chengdu Better City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shanghai Shenhua are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Chengdu Better City are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chengdu Better City hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 66.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the Super League, while Chengdu Better City holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chengdu Better City

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

50.5%

Chengdu Better City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shanghai ShenhuaWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Chengdu Better CityWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Shanghai ShenhuaChengdu Better City
60.3Attack63.6
46.0Defence66.7
50.8Form68.2
53.6Power66.7
1.25xG1.98
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