GGOALVIO

China · FA Cup · 5/16/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shanghai Second · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shanghai Second are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Yanbian Longding are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Shanghai Second hold a 38.9-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the FA Cup, while Shanghai Second holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shanghai Second

Probability

42.8%

Model confidence

42.8%

Shanghai Second has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shanghai SecondWWLDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Yanbian LongdingDDDDW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Shanghai SecondYanbian Longding
33.3Attack0.0
77.8Defence66.7
66.7Form0.0
62.6Power23.7
1.47xG0.93
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