GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 5/4/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Shanghai Second are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rizhao Yuqi are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rizhao Yuqi hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (34.6 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the League Two, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shanghai SecondLDWLD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Rizhao YuqiDDWLD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Shanghai SecondRizhao Yuqi
31.7Attack20.6
41.3Defence74.6
22.2Form39.7
34.6Power47.8
0.50xG0.81
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