GGOALVIO

China · FA Cup · 4/19/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shanghai Second · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shanghai Second are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LDLL), averaging 1.25 scored and 3.25 conceded, while Guangdong Mingtu are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shanghai Second hold a 38.9-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the FA Cup, while Shanghai Second holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shanghai Second

Probability

42.8%

Model confidence

42.8%

Shanghai Second has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shanghai SecondLDLL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.25/3.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Guangdong MingtuLDLDL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Shanghai SecondGuangdong Mingtu
33.3Attack0.0
77.8Defence66.7
66.7Form0.0
62.6Power23.7
1.47xG0.93
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