Shanghai Secondvs
Guangdong Mingtu
COMPLETEDChina · FA Cup · 4/19/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shanghai Second · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Shanghai Second are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LDLL), averaging 1.25 scored and 3.25 conceded, while Guangdong Mingtu are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shanghai Second hold a 38.9-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the FA Cup, while Shanghai Second holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shanghai Second
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Shanghai Second has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.25/3.25
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60