GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 7/10/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shandong Luneng · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Shandong Luneng are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Yunnan Yukun are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Shandong Luneng hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Super League, while Shandong Luneng holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shandong Luneng

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Shandong Luneng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shandong LunengLWWLD

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Yunnan YukunWLWDL

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Shandong LunengYunnan Yukun
60.9Attack65.2
44.9Defence37.9
56.5Form47.0
55.0Power51.5
2.49xG1.96
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