GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/24/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shandong Luneng · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Shandong Luneng are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Wuhan Three Towns are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Shandong Luneng hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.6% in the Super League, while Shandong Luneng holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shandong Luneng

Probability

57.6%

Model confidence

57.6%

Shandong Luneng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shandong LunengLWWWD

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Wuhan Three TownsDDDLD

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Shandong LunengWuhan Three Towns
60.9Attack47.6
44.9Defence39.7
56.5Form31.7
55.0Power41.3
2.50xG1.38
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