Shandong Lunengvs
Tianjin Teda
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Shandong Luneng are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Tianjin Teda are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and shandong Luneng hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Super League, favouring a draw with 12.2% confidence, a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
26.4%
Model confidence
12.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60