Shandong Lunengvs
Shenyang Urban
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 3/7/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shandong Luneng · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Shandong Luneng are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Shenyang Urban are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Shandong Luneng hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.9% in the Super League, while Shandong Luneng holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shandong Luneng
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Shandong Luneng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40