Shandong Lunengvs
Qingdao Youth Island
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 5/1/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shandong Luneng · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Shandong Luneng are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Qingdao Youth Island are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shandong Luneng hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Super League, while Shandong Luneng holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shandong Luneng
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Shandong Luneng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40