GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/1/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shandong Luneng · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shandong Luneng are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Qingdao Youth Island are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shandong Luneng hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Super League, while Shandong Luneng holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shandong Luneng

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

Shandong Luneng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shandong LunengLWDWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Qingdao Youth IslandDDDDL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Shandong LunengQingdao Youth Island
60.9Attack37.7
44.9Defence58.0
56.5Form47.8
55.0Power50.1
1.69xG1.13
View match centre →