GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 8/14/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shandong Luneng · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Shandong Luneng are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Qingdao Jonoon are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shandong Luneng hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.4% in the Super League, while Shandong Luneng holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shandong Luneng

Probability

60.2%

Model confidence

9.4%

Shandong Luneng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shandong LunengWWLDL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Qingdao JonoonLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Shandong LunengQingdao Jonoon
59.1Attack45.5
43.9Defence37.9
54.5Form31.8
53.5Power40.0
2.49xG1.35
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