Shandong Lunengvs
Qingdao Jonoon
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 8/14/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shandong Luneng · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Shandong Luneng are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Qingdao Jonoon are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shandong Luneng hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.4% in the Super League, while Shandong Luneng holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shandong Luneng
Probability
60.2%
Model confidence
9.4%
Shandong Luneng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80