GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shandong Luneng · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Shandong Luneng are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Dalian Zhixing are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Shandong Luneng hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the Super League, while Shandong Luneng holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shandong Luneng

Probability

52.9%

Model confidence

9.1%

Shandong Luneng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shandong LunengLWWWW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Dalian ZhixingWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Shandong LunengDalian Zhixing
60.9Attack50.8
44.9Defence42.9
56.5Form50.8
55.0Power50.2
2.29xG1.52
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