Shandong Lunengvs
Chongqing Tongliang Long
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 5/16/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shandong Luneng · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Shandong Luneng are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Chongqing Tongliang Long are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shandong Luneng hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the Super League, while Shandong Luneng holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shandong Luneng
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
13.2%
Shandong Luneng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20