Shandong Lunengvs
Beijing Guoan
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 3/14/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beijing Guoan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Shandong Luneng are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Beijing Guoan are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Beijing Guoan hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Super League, while Beijing Guoan holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Beijing Guoan
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Beijing Guoan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00