Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shamiya · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Shamiya are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Sporty are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 20.3 against 21.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Division 1, while Shamiya holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shamiya
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
14.5%
Shamiya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 14 · avg 0.20/2.80
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00