GGOALVIO

Belarus · 1. Division · 8/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Niva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Shakhter Soligorsk are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Niva are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Niva hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 67.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the 1. Division, while Niva holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Niva

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

9.8%

Niva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shakhter SoligorskLWLDW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NivaWWWWD

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Shakhter SoligorskNiva
68.5Attack75.9
53.7Defence63.0
53.7Form66.7
57.2Power67.4
1.60xG2.01
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