GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 7/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shakhter Karagandy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shakhter Karagandy are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Turan Turkistan are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Shakhter Karagandy hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (87.7 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the 1. Division, while Shakhter Karagandy holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shakhter Karagandy

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

49.8%

Shakhter Karagandy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shakhter KaragandyWWWWW

GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Turan TurkistanDWWWW

GF 16 · GA 2 · avg 3.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
Shakhter KaragandyTuran Turkistan
94.4Attack68.5
87.0Defence75.9
90.7Form70.4
87.7Power70.2
1.75xG1.06
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