Shakhter Karagandyvs
Kaspij Aktau 2
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · 1. Division · 8/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shakhter Karagandy · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Shakhter Karagandy are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Kaspij Aktau 2 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and shakhter Karagandy hold a 42.8-point power-rating edge (86.3 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely result in the 1. Division, favouring Shakhter Karagandy with 12.4% confidence, a 50% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shakhter Karagandy
Probability
87.6%
Model confidence
12.4%
Shakhter Karagandy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60