GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 6/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shakhter Karagandy · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Shakhter Karagandy are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Jaiyq are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shakhter Karagandy hold a 39.3-point power-rating edge (87.7 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.1% in the 1. Division, while Shakhter Karagandy holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shakhter Karagandy

Probability

81.1%

Model confidence

81.1%

Shakhter Karagandy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shakhter KaragandyWWLWW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
JaiyqWWWLL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Shakhter KaragandyJaiyq
94.4Attack33.3
87.0Defence57.4
90.7Form48.1
87.7Power48.4
2.73xG0.48
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