Shakhter Karagandyvs
Ekibastuz
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · 1. Division · 4/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shakhter Karagandy · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Shakhter Karagandy are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ekibastuz are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Shakhter Karagandy hold a 40.8-point power-rating edge (87.7 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.7% in the 1. Division, while Shakhter Karagandy holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shakhter Karagandy
Probability
86.7%
Model confidence
86.7%
Shakhter Karagandy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80