Shakhter Karagandyvs
Arys
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · 1. Division · 7/24/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shakhter Karagandy · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Shakhter Karagandy are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Arys are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Shakhter Karagandy hold a 55.3-point power-rating edge (87.7 v 32.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 93.0% in the 1. Division, while Shakhter Karagandy holds the strongest overall chance at 93% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shakhter Karagandy
Probability
93.0%
Model confidence
93.0%
Shakhter Karagandy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40