Shakhtar Donetskvs
Riga
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 2/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shakhtar Donetsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Shakhtar Donetsk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Riga are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shakhtar Donetsk hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (59.7 v 49.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Shakhtar Donetsk holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shakhtar Donetsk
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Shakhtar Donetsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80