Shaanxi Unionvs
Changchun Yatai
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 8/14/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shaanxi Union · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Shaanxi Union are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Changchun Yatai are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Shaanxi Union hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 46.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the League One, while Shaanxi Union holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shaanxi Union
Probability
62.4%
Model confidence
11.6%
Shaanxi Union has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20