GGOALVIO

China · League One · 8/14/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shaanxi Union · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Shaanxi Union are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Changchun Yatai are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Shaanxi Union hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 46.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the League One, while Shaanxi Union holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shaanxi Union

Probability

62.4%

Model confidence

11.6%

Shaanxi Union has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shaanxi UnionLDWLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Changchun YataiLDWLW

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Shaanxi UnionChangchun Yatai
49.0Attack51.0
68.6Defence37.3
45.1Form45.1
53.4Power46.6
2.00xG0.86
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