GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hoffenheim II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SGV Freiberg are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Hoffenheim II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hoffenheim II hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 82.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Hoffenheim II holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hoffenheim II

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Hoffenheim II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SGV FreibergDDDLW

GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hoffenheim IIWLWLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SGV FreibergHoffenheim II
59.0Attack100.0
69.2Defence80.6
59.0Form80.6
62.1Power82.4
1.07xG1.61
View match centre →