SGV Freibergvs
FC 08 Homburg
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - SudWest · 8/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SGV Freiberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
SGV Freiberg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 2.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while FC 08 Homburg are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 58.9 against 58.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the Regionalliga - SudWest, while SGV Freiberg holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SGV Freiberg
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
12.5%
SGV Freiberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 15 · avg 2.40/3.00
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00