Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sfera U20 · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Sfera U20 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mauá U20 are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sfera U20 hold a 28.9-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 30.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.7% in the Paulista - U20, while Sfera U20 holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sfera U20
Probability
83.7%
Model confidence
83.7%
Sfera U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20