Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bærum · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
SF Grei are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 4.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Bærum are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bærum hold a 42.2-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 65.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.6% in the 3. Division - Girone 1, while Bærum holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bærum
Probability
66.6%
Model confidence
7.6%
Bærum has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 21 · GA 12 · avg 4.20/2.40
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40