GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/5/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sevlievo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sevlievo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Spartak Pleven are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sevlievo hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (32.8 v 9.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sevlievo holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sevlievo

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

Sevlievo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SevlievoLDWLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Spartak PlevenLWLLW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SevlievoSpartak Pleven
23.8Attack8.3
33.3Defence0.0
38.1Form0.0
32.8Power9.5
1.74xG1.42
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