SevillavsRayo Vallecano

Sevilla are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rayo Vallecano are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sevilla hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 40.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.5% in the La Liga, while Sevilla holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.