Sevastopolvs
Pobeda
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 6/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sevastopol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sevastopol are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Pobeda are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sevastopol hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (70.0 v 56.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the Second League - Group 1, while Sevastopol holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sevastopol
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Sevastopol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80