Sevastopolvs
Nart Cherkessk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sevastopol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Sevastopol are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Nart Cherkessk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sevastopol hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (70.0 v 56.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Second League - Group 1, while Sevastopol holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sevastopol
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Sevastopol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80