GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 1 · 5/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sevastopol · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Sevastopol are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while FK Chayka 2 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sevastopol hold a 47.0-point power-rating edge (70.0 v 23.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 89.8% in the Second League - Group 1, while Sevastopol holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sevastopol

Probability

89.8%

Model confidence

89.8%

Sevastopol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SevastopolDWWWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FK Chayka 2LLDLL

GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
SevastopolFK Chayka 2
63.2Attack19.3
68.4Defence24.6
73.7Form14.0
70.0Power23.0
3.49xG0.39
View match centre →