GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 1 · 5/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sevastopol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Sevastopol are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Druzhba are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Sevastopol hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (70.0 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.9% in the Second League - Group 1, while Sevastopol holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sevastopol

Probability

53.9%

Model confidence

53.9%

Sevastopol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SevastopolWDLWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
DruzhbaWWLDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
SevastopolDruzhba
63.2Attack44.4
68.4Defence63.0
73.7Form48.1
70.0Power53.1
1.58xG0.73
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