Sevastopolvs
Astrakhan
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sevastopol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Sevastopol are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Astrakhan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sevastopol hold a 29.6-point power-rating edge (72.6 v 43.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.6% in the Second League - Group 1, while Sevastopol holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sevastopol
Probability
72.0%
Model confidence
16.6%
Sevastopol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60