GGOALVIO

Brazil · Capixaba B · 8/9/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Serra Talhada · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Serra Talhada are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sport Brasil ES are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Serra Talhada hold a 31.5-point power-rating edge (86.1 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.9% in the Capixaba B, while Serra Talhada holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Serra Talhada

Probability

74.9%

Model confidence

74.9%

Serra Talhada has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Serra TalhadaDLDWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sport Brasil ESLLLWL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Serra TalhadaSport Brasil ES
100.0Attack50.0
80.0Defence66.7
90.0Form50.0
86.1Power54.6
2.66xG0.72
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