Serra Talhadavs
Linhares
COMPLETEDBrazil · Capixaba B · 10/3/2025, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Serra Talhada · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Serra Talhada are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Linhares are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Serra Talhada hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (86.1 v 78.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the Capixaba B, while Serra Talhada holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Serra Talhada
Probability
65.3%
Model confidence
11.3%
Serra Talhada has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60